I have previously indicated my intention to make a considered statement
   on the referenda to be held on November 6.
  Accordingly, I attach a statement of my reasons for voting 'no' to the proposed
   republic as well as a statement in support of the preamble.
  I have drawn upon this material to detail my position in a newsletter to
   my constituents.
Introduction
  On 6 November Australia will vote on two constitutional proposals - one
   on a republic and another on a preamble to the constitution.
The people of Australia are entitled to know how I intend to vote and why.
  The referendum on the issue of a republic fulfils a promise I made to the
   Australian people, on behalf of the Coalition, before the 1996 election
   and before I became Prime Minister.
  As Leader of the Opposition, I promised that if elected the Coalition would
   hold a Constitutional Convention and, furthermore, give the people of Australia
   a vote on the issue before the turn of the century.
  At the Convention, held in February 1998, I said that if clear support for
   a particular republican model emerged then the Government would put that
   model to the people at a referendum.
  Clear support for the model now proposed did emerge from the Convention.
   In fulfilment of our pledge, the referendum is now being held.
  I have never disguised my personal views on this issue. I have been completely
   consistent. I told the Australian people prior to both the elections of
   1996 and 1998 that I supported current constitutional arrangements. At the
   Constitutional Convention, I voted in favour of our present system.
Why I will vote "No" to a Republic
  I will vote 'no' to Australia becoming a republic because I do not believe
   in changing a constitutional system which works so well and has helped bring
   such stability to our nation.
  The changes being proposed would not make Australia's constitution or system
   of Government any better or more effective. They are not as simple or as
   minuscule as their proponents would like people to believe.
  There are no demonstrated benefits from the proposed changes. They would
   add nothing to the already democratic character of Australia.
They will not enhance our independence.
  There is nothing to be gained from tampering with a system of government
   which has contributed to our country being one of only a handful of nations
   which has remained fully democratic throughout the 20th century.
  Some of the checks and balances in our present system would be weakened
   under the republic being proposed.
  The president could be less secure in his or her position, than is the Governor-General.
   This in turn could, among other things, affect the appropriate exercise
   of the reserve powers by a president in a future republic.
An Australian Head of State
  The main argument advanced by republicans is that our head of state should
   be an Australian.
  The Queen is Queen of Australia. However, under our present constitution,
   the Governor-General is effectively Australia's head of state. The only
   constitutional duty performed by the Queen relates to the appointment of
   the Governor-General which must be done on the recommendation of the Prime
   Minister of the day.
  Since 1965 every Governor-General of Australia has been an Australian. It
   is inconceivable that any future occupant of that office would be other
   than an Australian.
  The circumstances of history have given Australia a very stable and workable
   system of government.
  Executive political authority is vested in the Prime Minister and other
   members of the Cabinet who must always come from the majority party in the
   House of Representatives. The essentially ceremonial functions of government
   are separated from the day to day executive responsibilities.
  A fundamental characteristic of our system is not only the separation of
   the ceremonial and executive functions of government, but also that the
   person discharging the formal or ceremonial functions is so politically
   neutral - both in reality and perception - that he or she can act as the
   ultimate defender of the constitutional integrity of the nation.
  I do not believe that the republican proposal would be as effective as present
   arrangements in delivering that outcome.
  The Governor-General is the ultimate constitutional umpire. He exercises
   the reserve powers of the crown, completely free of any interference from
   anyone.
  His powers flow from the Australian Constitution. They do not flow from
   the Queen. He acts in accordance with the Constitution of Australia. Although
   he is the Queen's representative, he does not take instructions from her.
  He acts in accordance with the powers given to him by the Constitution as
   well as the conventions of the Crown which have been developed and distilled
   through hundreds of years of constitutional practice.
That is one of the reasons why our system of government is so stable.
It has evolved over a long period of time.
Its history is a strength not a weakness.
  We should not lightly put aside something which has worked so well and helped
   give us such stability.
  That the Governor-General is the effective head of state of Australia and
   must act in accordance with the Australian Constitution was clearly illustrated
   in November 1975.
  After the Governor-General had withdrawn Mr Whitlam's commission as Prime
   Minister, the House of Representatives passed a vote of no confidence in
   the caretaker Fraser Government.
  The text of that resolution was sent to the Queen with a request that she
   intervene. The reply on her behalf was as follows : ".. the Australian
   Constitution firmly places the prerogative powers of the Crown in the hands
   of the Governor-General. and the Queen has no part in the decisions which
   the Governor-General must take in accordance with the Constitution. it would
   not be proper for Her to intervene in person in matters which are so clearly
   placed within the jurisdiction of the Governor-General by the Constitution
   Act."
  In other words, the matter was to be resolved by Australians under the terms
   of the Australian Constitution which, incidentally, had been assented to
   by Australians before its adoption in 1901.
An independent nation
  Australia is a fully independent and sovereign nation. Even staunch republicans
   like the former Prime Minister Mr Gough Whitlam acknowledge this. The 1988
   report of the Hawke Government's Constitutional Commission, of which Mr
   Whitlam was a member, found that "Australia had achieved full independence
   as a sovereign state of the world" sometime between 1926 and the end
   of World War II and was so recognised by the world community.
  Despite this some argue, including the former Prime Minister Mr Keating,
   that Australia must become a republic to demonstrate to the world, and especially
   to the Asian-Pacific region, that it is a truly independent nation.
This is a shallow argument with no merit or substance.
Mutual respect is the basis of good relations between nations.
  Just as Australia does not seek to tell other nations how to arrange their
   constitutions, so it is that our friends in the region and elsewhere do
   not seek to tell us what form our constitution should take.
  This reality was best captured by the senior Minister of Singapore, Mr Lee
   Kuan Yew, probably the elder statesman of Asia and certainly a good judge
   of the mood of the region.
  Addressing the National Press Club in 1994 he said: "I don't think
   Asia understands what the argument is about. Australia would not generate
   greater esteem in Asia as a republic than it does with its present constitutional
   arrangements."
  Moreover, my experience from all the negotiations in which I have been involved
   concerning East Timor in recent months is the strongest evidence to me of
   how empty and transparent is the proposition that Australia must become
   a republic to demonstrate its independence to the world.
  Those negotiations were as intense and as high level as any negotiations
   in which any Australian Prime Minister has been involved since World War
   II.
  They involved frequent discussions with the leaders of many of our regional
   neighbours, the President of the United States, the Prime Ministers of New
   Zealand, Canada, Portugal and Japan and the Secretary-General of the United
   Nations.
  They led to Australia, for the first time in her history, being asked to
   lead a multinational force.
  To suggest that I came to those negotiations otherwise than as the Prime
   Minister of a completely independent nation is ludicrous.
  It would be equally ludicrous to suggest that the outcome of those negotiations
   would have been either different or better if Australia had come to them
   as a republic.
  This "independence" argument is one of the poorest of all advanced
   in favour of a republic.
A directly elected President?
  I will vote 'no' because I support the present system, not because I prefer
   some other kind of republic than the one on offer.
I do not support a directly elected presidency.
This would produce rival power centres in our political system.
  Under such an arrangement both the Prime Minister and the president would
   claim popular mandates.
  Even if the president's powers were carefully laid out in the Constitution,
   the adversarial nature of Australian politics would ensure that tension
   between the two would arise.
Flaws in the republican model
  Although my principal reason for voting no is that I support the present
   system, I am obliged to point out that there are flaws in the republican
   model that people are being asked to support.
  This is due in no small measure to the fact that it is a compromise model
   designed to attract the support of direct election republicans for an appointment
   process which gives the power to appoint the president to the members of
   the Commonwealth Parliament.
In the process the worst of both worlds has resulted.
  Final power to choose the president rests with parliament and not the people.
   This is undoubtedly unsatisfactory to those who want a direct election for
   the president.
  Under the republican model being proposed, public nomination for the presidency
   would be called for by a committee comprising 32 people, half of them chosen
   by the Prime Minister and the other half serving members of the Commonwealth
   and State Parliaments and the Territory Legislative Assemblies.
  This Committee would recommend a short list to the Prime Minister who would
   then propose a candidate of his choice to the Parliament. He would not,
   incidentally, be obliged to nominate a person from the short list.
  This is a "Claytons" public consultation process. It is designed
   to placate the direct election republicans with the illusion of public involvement
   in the selection process.
  But it is without one of the advantages of a pure parliamentary appointment
   model (where there is no such public consultation process) which is that,
   in practice, the full range of talented Australians would be available for
   the post of president - as is the case now with the appointment of the Governor-General.
  Under the republican proposal being put at the referendum many Australians
   holding prominent positions might not submit themselves to the nomination
   process either because of the embarrassment at not being short listed or
   chosen, or through a fear that their rejection, or the possibility of public
   knowledge that they were under consideration, might reduce their capacity
   to discharge their current duties.
  Would, for example, a High Court judge, or even an eminent businessman or
   community leader allow their names to go forward if they feared that their
   involvement in the nomination process might compromise the performance of
   their current duties?
  Australia has been extremely well served by its Governors-General. If the
   republic is supported at the referendum then I do not believe that the pool
   from which a future president would be drawn will be as deep as the one
   now available for the Governor-General.
Dismissal of a President
  There has been much debate about whether, or not, the president in the proposed
   republic would be more or less secure in his or her office than is the Governor-General
   under the present Constitution.
  I believe that, on balance, the Governor-General has greater security of
   tenure. Let me state why.
  Under the proposed republic, the president can be summarily dismissed by
   the Prime Minister by notice in writing at any time without reason or appeal.
  The requirement that the dismissal be approved by the House of Representatives
   within thirty days adds little to the president's security of tenure.
  The government party, with a majority in the House of Representatives, would
   scarcely repudiate their own Prime Minister's action in dismissing the president.
   Even if it did, that would not reinstate the president. His or her removal
   would be final and absolute.
No Australian Governor-General has been dismissed from office.
  If in the future, a Prime Minister did wish to have a Governor-General dismissed,
   it would almost certainly be for a political reason and any action taken
   to secure the dismissal would be highly controversial.
  In those circumstances, a recommendation from the Prime Minister to the
   Queen to remove the Governor-General would be seen to involve her directly
   in a political dispute.
  Although a future Prime Minister might be willing to do this, a natural
   reluctance to involve the monarch very directly in a political dispute could
   act as a constraint on a Prime Minister recommending removal of a Governor-General.
  However, under the conventions of our system the Queen would be bound to
   accept the advice of the Prime Minister to remove the Governor-General.
   The very requirement of formal advice to the Queen, together with the formal
   consideration by her and the time taken, however short this may be, could
   act as a valuable additional check against totally arbitrary removal.
  I therefore find it difficult to accept the argument advanced by some that
   the president in the proposed republican model would have greater security
   of tenure than the Governor-General.
As I say, I believe that, on balance, the reverse is the case.
Reserve powers
  Under the model it is not proposed to specify the reserve powers of the
   Governor-General. It is commonly believed that the reserve powers relate
   to appointing and dismissing the Prime Minister, refusing to dissolve the
   Parliament and forcing a dissolution of the Parliament.
  Any lessened security of tenure which has come about by the more arbitrary
   process laid down for the dismissal of a president could also influence
   him or her in the appropriate exercise of these reserve powers.
Another referendum?
  Recently the Leader of the Opposition, Mr Beazley, and others, have raised
   the possibility of another referendum being held, if the republic wins on
   6 November, to give Australians the chance of deciding whether or not they
   wish to directly elect the president.
  This is a stunt to entice direct election republicans into supporting the
   'yes' case .
  If the republic wins on 6 November there won't be a referendum for a directly
   elected president. The republicans will have got what they wanted.
  Almost all of the prominent politicians who support the 'yes' case for the
   referendum are in favour of the members of Federal Parliament choosing the
   president. Few of them are direct electionists.
  In addition, the majority of those Members of Parliament who advocate a
   'no' vote are just as opposed to a directly elected president as they are
   to the model being proposed.
  If the referendum wins therefore, these two groups will make common cause
   to oppose a direct election option being put to the people.
  I do not agree with those who want a republic in which the people directly
   vote for a president. Their cause is not my cause. I oppose any change to
   the present system.
  I do, however, understand why so many of them are advocating a 'no' vote
   on 6 November.
  If the republican model on offer, whereby the president is chosen by two-thirds
   of the members of the Commonwealth Parliament, wins on 6 November it will
   be there forever.
Conclusion
  The current Federal Government is the first since Federation to give Australians
   a choice between retaining their form of Government under our Constitution
   or changing to a republican alternative.
  Consistent with our great democratic traditions the result, whatever it
   may be, should be embraced by all Australians.
My support for a constitutional monarchy is not based on nostalgia.
  Rather it is based on a belief that we will not give ourselves a better
   system of Government if Australia becomes a republic and, in all probability,
   will give ourselves a less effective one.
  I am more ready than most to argue the cause of change when I believe that
   it is in the national interest to do so.
  On issues such as industrial relations and taxation reforms as well as privatisation,
   I have been willing to advocate the need for fundamental reforms, even in
   the face of fierce opposition, because I have seen such reforms as being
   in Australia's interests.
  On other issues however - and the constitutional change to a republic is
   one of them - I will staunchly oppose change because I do not think it will
   benefit Australia. Not all change is for the better, I cannot support change
   for change's sake.
  Prudent nations elect to keep those institutions which continue to work,
   and discard those which don't.
  Not even the most zealous republicans in our midst would claim that our
   system has broken down, that the constitutional monarchy in Australia is
   in a state of crisis.
  In fact, republicans have paid a massive compliment to the present system
   by continually arguing that the change they want is minuscule, that it is
   virtually no change at all.
  Some republicans imply that it is almost unAustralian not to want a republic.
   Such an attitude is offensive.
  There are passionate and deeply patriotic Australians on both sides of this
   debate.
  As I move around Australia I find no great groundswell for change. Intense
   debate is confined to the deeply committed on each side.
  Even amongst many who intend to vote 'yes' there is a ready acknowledgment
   that there are far more important issues on the national agenda.
  In these circumstances Australians are right to be sceptical about the need
   for change. I hope they reject the republic. It will not produce a better
   Australia.
Why I say "Yes" to the preamble
  As well as voting on the republican issue people are being asked to approve
   a preamble. A preamble is a broad statement of values and principles which
   aim to reflect the spirit, traditions and sentiment which underpin our commitment
   to the Constitution.
  It would also provide Australians with an opportunity to highlight the aspirations
   we share as we enter the second century of our nationhood.
  The great value of the preamble is that it can unite republicans and anti-republicans
   behind commonly held Australian values. It is not conditional on whether
   the republic is supported or rejected.
  It can also make a contribution to the reconciliation process which is one
   of the most important issues we face as a nation as we enter the new century.
   The preamble honours "Aborigines and Torres Strait Islanders, the nation's
   first people, for their deep kinship with their lands and for their ancient
   and continuing cultures which enrich the life of our country".
  The preamble also talks about those people who defended our country and
   our liberty in time of war. It honours all those Australians who contributed
   in so many different ways and expresses the deep respect and appreciation
   of a grateful nation.
  The important role of the States and Territories in our federal system of
   Government is highlighted as is the nation building contribution of generations
   of immigrants, our responsibility to preserve our unique natural environment
   and the special value we place on both fairness and achievement.
  This is a worthy affirmation of national values and ideals that is suitably
   made as we prepare to celebrate the centenary of our Federation.